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JASON'S STORM CHASING WORLD |
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\chaser\chasedays\020102.html |
Pictures are on top, with the log just below. Mesoscale discussions,
Watches and Warnings, as well as
SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0001 FOR SRN FL AND THE FL KEYS CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL... VALID 021442Z - 021700Z A POTENTIAL THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AND/OR WIND DAMAGE IS EXPECTED OVER SRN FL INCLUDING THE FL KEYS /SOUTH OF A LINE FROM FMY-PBI/. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS REGION AND AN UPGRADE TO A SLIGHT RISK WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED IN THE NEXT UPDATE AT 1630Z. SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A SURFACE LOW OVER THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING SEWD THROUGH EXTREME SRN FL. SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE UPPER 60 F SOUTH OF THIS TROUGH...WITH ESELY WINDS OVER THE KEYS INTO SRN FL. SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO VEER TO THE SOUTH LATER THIS MORNING AS THE SURFACE LOW APPROACHES CENTRAL FL...ADVECTING THE HIGHER DEWPOINT AIR NWD INTO SRN FL. SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR EXISTS OVER SRN FL INTO THE KEYS TO SUSTAIN UPDRAFT STRENGTH OF STORMS MOVING ONSHORE FROM THE GULF. THE LACK OF STRONG INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED TORNADOES/STRONG WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREATS. ..PETERS.. 01/02/02
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 230 PM EST WED JAN 2 2002 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... WESTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA * UNTIL 300 PM EST * AT 230 PM EST... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A DEVELOPING TORNADO 12 MILES WEST OF MAHOGANY HAMMOCK...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. * SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE STORM THROUGH 300 PM EST... MAHOGANY HAMMOCK ROYAL PALM RANGER STATION FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THE PARENT STORM. IF OUTDOORS... STAY AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES AND AVOID WATER. MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE IF POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES. REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI. OR YOU CAN ALSO CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI DIRECTLY AT 305 229 4522 TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER. LAT...LON 2538 8113 2520 8108 2529 8054 2556 8063 .END PIFER
Notice the locations in the path have been increased. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 257 PM EST WED JAN 2 2002 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA * UNTIL 345 PM EST * AT 257 PM EST... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A DEVELOPING TORNADO NEAR MAHOGANY HAMMOCK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE STORM THROUGH 345 PM EST... MAHOGANY HAMMOCK ROYAL PALM RANGER STATION FLORIDA CITY AND REDLAND HOMESTEAD NARANJA PRINCETON AND GOULDS FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THE PARENT STORM. IF OUTDOORS... STAY AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES AND AVOID WATER. MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE IF POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES. THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH YOU SHOULD PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...LARGE HAIL...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. LAT...LON 2540 8090 2523 8082 2545 8018 2568 8029 .END PIFER WWWW
SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0003 FOR SE FL AND KEYS CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL... VALID 021815Z - 022200Z CONVECTIVE WIND AND TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE OVER MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY AND LOWER KEYS BY 20Z...THEREAFTER...MIDDLE-UPPER KEYS AND BULK OF MIAMI-DADE COUNTY. THREAT AREA IS RATHER SMALL SPATIALLY...BUT NONETHELESS BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WW. AIR MASS ACROSS MAINLAND MONROE/DADE COUNTIES CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE WITH MOIST ADVECTION AND SOME INSOLATION...WITH TEMPS MID-UPPER 70S F AND DEW POINTS LOW 70S EXPECTED. MODIFIED RAOBS YIELD MLCAPE 700-1000 J/KG. BROKEN BUT INCREASINGLY WELL ORGANIZED LINE OF TSTMS -- EXTENDING AT 18Z FROM ABOUT 25 SSW CHOKOLOSKEE ISLAND TO 30 SSW DRY TORTUGAS AND BEYOND -- SHOULD REMAIN WELL ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES E...AMIDST VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES SUPPORTING BOTH BOWS AND EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS. STRONGLY BACKED SURFACE FLOW NOW EVIDENT OVER UPPER KEYS/MIAMI-DADE COUNTY LAND SITES AND C-MANS MAY VEER SLIGHTLY TOWARD SSE OR S AS CONVECTION APPROACHES...BUT STILL MAINTAINING 150-300 J/KG SRH BASED ON FORECAST HODOGRAPHS. THOUGH DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN INTENSE BENEATH 100-120 KT ANVIL LEVEL JET...WEAKNESSES IN BOTH CAPPING AND MID LEVEL SR FLOW SUGGEST CONTINUED LINEAR MODE OVERALL WITH SOME DISCRETE/RAIN- WRAPPED MESOCYCLONES AND SMALL BOWS. ..EDWARDS.. 01/02/02
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI, FL
429 PM EST WED JAN 2 2002
TIME(EST) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0330 PM REDLAND FL .25 INCH HAIL
01/02/02 MIAMI-DADE REPORTED BY
SPOTTERS
0330 PM REDLAND FL 50 MPH TSTM WIND GUST
01/02/02 MIAMI-DADE
0335 PM HOMESTEAD FL .25 INCH HAIL
01/02/02 MIAMI-DADE REPORTED BY HOMESTEAD AIR
BASE EMPLOYEE
0340 PM HOMESTEAD FL 1.00 INCH HAIL
01/02/02 MIAMI-DADE QUARTER-SIZED HAIL CRACKED
SIDE WINDOW OF VAN REPORTED
BY PUBLIC
0345 PM HOMESTEAD FL 57 MPH TSTM WIND GUST
01/02/02 MIAMI-DADE THUNDERSTORM GUST TO 49
KNOTS REPORTED BY HOMESTEAD
AIR BASE OBSERVER
0345 PM HOMESTEAD FL TORNADO
01/02/02 MIAMI-DADE ROOF DAMAGE TO THREE
BUSINESSES AT 204 NORTH
FLAGLER AVE IN
HOMESTEADREPORTED BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT
0350 PM 5 S HOMESTEAD FL TORNADO
01/02/02 MIAMI-DADE TREES DOWN AND POWER POLES
LEANING ALONG CARD SOUND
ROAD SOUTH OF HOMESTEAD
REPORTED BY FLORIDA HIGHWAY
PATROL
0350 PM HOMESTEAD FL TORNADO
01/02/02 MIAMI-DADE ROOF/POOL/OTHER PROPERTY
AND TREE DAMAGE AT 449 SW
17TH TERRACE REPORTED BY
PUBLIC
0355 PM HOMESTEAD FL TORNADO
01/02/02 MIAMI-DADE TORNADO SPOTTED BY
HOMESTEAD AIR BASE OBSERVER
2 MILES WEST OF BASE
TW
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| Last Update: 01-02-2002 10:50pm Eastern Standard Time |
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