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    TROPICAL ADVISORIES


WTNT33 KNHC 190100 
TCPAT3 
BULLETIN 
TROPICAL STORM ISABEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 51B 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
9 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2003 

..ISABEL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... 

AT 9 PM...0100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A 
TROPICAL STORM WARNING. 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH 
CAROLINA TO MORICHES INLET NEW YORK...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND 
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...AND 
DELAWARE BAY. 

AT 9 PM EDT...0100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISABEL WAS 
LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 37.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST... 
OR ABOUT 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF EMPORIA VIRGINIA. 

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. A TURN TO THE 
NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE 
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISABEL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS 
EASTERN VIRGINIA TOWARD WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA OVER THE NEXT 24 
HOURS. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER 
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH ISABEL WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER 
LAND...UNUSUALLY STRONG WINDS...WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE...MAY 
BE EXPERIENCED WELL INLAND TO THE ELEVATED TERRAIN OF NORTHERN 
VIRGINIA AND MARYLAND...AS WELL AS ON HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS AND OTHER 
STRUCTURES. 

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES. 

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 968 MB...28.58 INCHES. 

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... 
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...MAY STILL 
OCCUR ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 
AREA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS 
STILL POSSIBLE IN CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE TIDAL PORTIONS OF ADJACENT 
RIVERS. STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE OUTER BANKS WILL CONTINUE TO 
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT. 

STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER 
AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH ISABEL. 

THERE IS A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER EASTERN VIRGINIA...AND 
SOUTHEASTERN MARYLAND THROUGH TONIGHT. 

FORECASTER AVILA 


----------------------------------------------------------------------

TCPAT3 BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER  54
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2003 

...ISABEL RACING NORTHWARD...LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.  HOWEVER...STORM SURGE FLOODING IS STILL OCCURRING IN
MANY AREAS.  PLEASE CONSULT STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE FOR INFORMATION CONCERNING
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS IN YOUR AREA. 

AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISABEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 42.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES
NORTHEAST OF CLEVELAND OHIO. 

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 30 MPH ...48 KM/HR...AND AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ISABEL IS LOSING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...AND COULD
RESTRENGTHEN OVER CANADA AS AN EXTRATROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.  A FEW WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE STILL
OCCURRING IN ASSOCIATION WITH ISABEL. 

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  997 MB...29.44 INCHES. 

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...IS
STILL OCCURRING IN THE MID TO UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE TIDAL
PORTIONS OF ADJACENT RIVERS. STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BEGIN TO
SUBSIDE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  

FORECASTER FRANKLIN



    PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS

NOUS41 KBGM 192016 PNSBGM PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY, BUFFALO NY 415 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2003 ...PEAK WINDS FROM ISABEL... HERE ARE SOME PEAK WIND GUSTS IN CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA FROM ISABEL. LOCATION PEAK GUST HAZELTON, PA... 59 MPH FORT DRUM, NY 56 MPH 0403 PM 09/19 MOSCOW, PA... 47 MPH MOUNT POCONO... 46 MPH ELK LAKE, PA... 46 MPH JERMYN, PA... 46 MPH BINGHAMTON REGIONAL AIRPORT... 45 MPH HORNELL, NY... 45 MPH MONTICELLO AIRPORT... 44 MPH MADISON, NY... 44 MPH LIVERPOOL, NY 44 MPH UTICA AIRPORT... 43 MPH EXETER, PA... 43 MPH MARATHON, NY... 42 MPH SYRACUSE HANCOCK FIELD... 41 MPH WELLSVILLE, NY 41 MPH 0558 AM 09/19 BUFFALO, NY 41 MPH 0412 PM 09/19 SCRANTON WILKES BARRE AIRPORT... 40 MPH ROMULUS, NY... 40 MPH WATERTOWN, NY 40 MPH 1205 PM 09/19 PLYMOUTH, PA... 39 MPH LAKE ARIEL, PA... 38 MPH SHELDRAKE, NY... 38 MPH ROCHESTER, NY 38 MPH 1055 AM 09/19 ELMIRA CORNING REGIONAL AIRPORT... 37 MPH CANSITEO, NY... 37 MPH PORT BYRON, NY... 37 MPH PENN YAN... 36 MPH BATH, NY... 33 MPH DUNKIRK MUNI ARPT 33 MPH 0308 PM 09/19 ROME, PA... 32 MPH NIAGARA FALLS, NY 31 MPH 1226 PM 09/19 PEAK WINDS FROM ISABEL REACHED BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH IN MOST AREAS WHICH LED TO NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. THE STRONGEST WINDS WERE EXPERIENCED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE REGION. THERE ARE SOME INSTANCES OF TREES BLOCKING ROADWAYS AND AREAS THAT HAVE BEEN WITHOUT POWER FOR SEVERAL HOURS TODAY. THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE FROM ISABEL AS SHE CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE NORTH INTO CANADA. $$ NICOSIA
    PEAK WIND GUSTS AT BINGHAMTON NWS

DIRECTION SPEED (mph) TIME (eastern) ESE 36 3:02am E 38 4:17am ESE 44 5:13am ESE 30 6:00am ESE 37 6:53am E 36 6:54am SSE 30 8:06am ESE 44 8:21am SE 40 9:04am ESE 41 9:57am SE 40 11:31am SE 45 12:24pm S 31 12:57pm SSE 31 13:22pm SSE 30 14:07pm
    NY STATE POLICE REPORTS

SXUS41 KALY 192226 STONY2 NEW YORK STATEWIDE POLICE INFORMATION NETWORK TROOP C 0627PM FRI SEP 19 2003 #2 0000002 000 CCSO WSTO APTS 02917 FILE 28 CHENANGO CO SO NY0080000 SEP 19-03 TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ROAD CONDITION REPORT FOR DATE: 09/19/03 TIME: 18-11 PM COUNTY(S) AFFECTED: CHENANGO COUNTY UPDATED HIGHWAY(S) AFFECTED: STATE HIGHWAY 12 BETWEEN GROTSINGER ROAD AND COUNTY ROAD 46 T/NORWICH AND STATE HIGHWAY 206 BETWEEN STATE HIGHWAY 41 AND COUNTY ROAD 17 T/BAINBRIDGE AND ALSO STATE HWY 80 AT STATE HWY 8 T/NEW BERLIN IS CLOSED CONDITION(S): ROADS CLOSED DUE TO DOWNED POWERLINES AND TREES ANTICIPATED RETURN TO NORMAL CONDITION: 09/20/03 TIME: 06-00 AM SUGGESTED ALTERNATE ROUTE(S): COUNTY ROAD 32 T/NORWICH OR STATE HIGHWAY 41 SOUTH T/COVENTRY OR COUNTY RD 25 WEST AUTH /SENT CHIEF DISP MATTHEW L BECKWITH BECKWITH 1825 HRS OPER - MOHR,VALERIE L 1826 -------------------------------------------------------------------- NWUS51 KALY 192122 LSRNY2 NEW YORK STATEWIDE POLICE INFORMATION NETWORK TROOP C 0523PM FRI SEP 19 2003 #1 0000001 000 CDSO WLSR QHQT QTRF APTS WAPT 02394 FILE 28 DELAWARE CO SHERIFF NY0120000 SEP 19-03 TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COPY SEMO DUTY OFFICER THUNDERSTORM/HIGH WIND REPORT COUNTY(S) AFFECTED: DELAWARE COUNTY LOCATION (INCLUDING TOWN AND NEAREST ROAD): ALL TOWNSHIPS DATE AND TIME CONDITION STARTED: 0600 EXTENT OF DAMAGE OR AREAS IN DANGER: 4500 PEOPLE WITHOUT POWER AND CLIMBING STEADILY. CURRENTLY HAVE NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED DUE TO IMPASSABLE CONDITIONS INVOLVING TREES AND WIRES. CHECK ONE: HAIL SIZE REPORTED ( ) - NO HAIL REPORTED ( ) - LESS THAN 1/2" (PEA) ( ) - 1/2" (MARBLE) ( ) - 1/2" TO 3/4" (PENNY) ( ) - 3/4" TO 1" (DIME) ( ) - 1.25" (HALF DOLLAR) ( ) - 1.50" (WALNUT) ( ) - 1.75" (GOLFBALL) ( ) - 2.00" (HENS EGG) ( ) - 2.50" (TENNISBALL) ( ) - 2.75" (BASEBALL) ( ) - 3.00" (TEA CUP) ( ) - 4.00" (GRAPEFRUIT) ( ) - 4.50" (SOFTBALL) NUMBER KILLED: NUMBER INJURED: CHECK ONE OR MORE AS APPLICABLE: LIGHTNING REPORTED AS ( ) - CLOUD TO CLOUD ( ) - CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING DAMAGE TO: ( ) - TREES ( ) - POWER/TELCO POLES ( ) - POWER/TELCO LINES ( ) - COMM. BUILDINGS ( ) - PRIVATE HOMES ( ) - OUT/FARM BUILDINGS ( ) - CROPS NUMBER KILLED: NUMBER INJURED: CHECK ONE OR MORE AS APPLICABLE: HIGH WIND/T'STORM WIND DAMAGE ( ) - CROPS (X) - SMALL TREES/SHRUBS (X) - LARGE TREES ( ) - COMM. BUILDINGS ( ) - PRIVATE HOMES ( ) - OUT/FARM BUILDINGS (X) - POWER/TELCO POLES (X) - POWER/TELCO LINES RELIABLE WIND SPEED REPORTS: MPH OR KNOTS NUMBER KILLED: 0 NUMBER INJURED: 0 FLOODING (IF EXTENSIVE, SEND SEPARATE FLOOD MESSAGE FROM MENU) ( ) - STORM SEWER OVERFLOWS, UNDERPASSES, STREET FLOODING ( ) - LOCAL SMALL CREEKS OVERFLOWING ( ) - STREAMS AND LARGE CREEKS FLOODING (COMPLETE REMARKS W/DAMAGE REMARKS: ADVISED BY OUR UTILITY COMPANIES THAT FULL RESTORATION WILL BE COMPLETED BY MONDAY MORNING. AUTH MORRISON,GLENN W DEPUTY DIRECTOR EMERG SERV MORRISON OPER - MORRISON,GLENN W 1722