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SPC Experimental Products

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Tornado Forecast

 

Hail Forecast

 

Wind Forecast

 

Combined Outlook

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The probabilistic outlooks are presented as a series of individual images depicting the probability of hail, wind, and tornadoes
within 25 miles of a point. Select any of the thumbnail images for the full maps.


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM-WIND EVENT PROBABILITIES

SEVERE HAIL PROBABILITIES

TORNADO PROBABILITIES

Combined Outlook

The SPC has begun an experiment of forecasting severe weather using probabilities. These outlooks are purely subjective and are not created automatically by a computer algorithm. The current outlooks, which are categorical in nature (Slight/Moderate/High Risk), do not do as effective a job of expressing either the uncertainty involved in the forecast or the specific risk of either hail, wind, or tornadoes in the forecast. The probabilistic outlooks which are being created at the SPC are an attempt to address both of those issues

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SPC Probability Forecast Explanation Page

Storms Predictions Center's Experimental Weather Products Page

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